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If the ini- tiative is successful, there may be postings in other member states. The plan has come to light at a time when the European Commis- sion is working to strengthen co- ordination between national tax authorities in response to the changes caused by the single Euro- pean market. The removal of border controls on January 1 means cus- toms officers now depend on those who trade within the EC filing accu- rate monthly or quarterly VAT returns.

They no longer collect docu- ments on goods at EC borders. The EC recently introduced a sys- tem called the VAT Information Exchange System to trace trade across boundaries, and another called the Customs Intelligence Sys- tem which relays anti-fraud mes- sages between computer termi- nals in the national customs services. It plans to introduce a further ver- sion by next summer. It also plans to launch its Matthaeus programme in to second about EC tax investigators annually to other coun- tries for two or three weeks each.

Customs said it was too early to tell whether fraud had risen as a result of the single market Attempts to gauge its impact have been com- plicated by companies' difficulties in complying with the new rules, some of which are yet to be finalised. But in the" first three months of the new regime. Customs had brought its largest ever VAT fraud case to court. Speaking to Conservative activists in the Cornwall Euro- pean constituency, Mr Hurd said the party would campaign hard in the June elections to defeat the parliament's social- ist majority.

But he said the manifesto would not endorse the federal- ist platform of the European People's Party group, to which the Conservative parliamen- tary group belongs. Our candidates will fight on a Conservative manifesto which we have begun to pre- pare. Conservative leaders are keenly aware that continuing divisions on Europe could lead to an embarrassing defeat.

The Tories lost a third of their European seats in the election, when they emerged with 32 of the 78 Brit- ish mainland seats, compared with 45 won by Labour. According to confidential research by Conservative Cen- tral Office, up to a quarter of party, seats are threatened, mostly by Liberal Democrats. Land Securities, the property company, is offering the slot on a five-year lease from June In the course of a year about 24m vehicles, m bus passen- gers and 32m underground pas- sengers use Piccadilly Circus, said Land Securities.

The 1, sq ft site currently takes 7, ft of neon tubes, 29, ft of cables and has 25 computers controlling 15, electrical switches. Panasonic said yesterday that after 10 years of having its name in lights at Piccadilly Circus "other opportunities bad become available". It is 20 years since a British- owned company advertised at the famous site, although past names have included BP, Brit- ish Airways, Schweppes and Players Cigarettes.

Coca-Cola has displayed its illuminated sign since Our commuters pay by far the highest fares in Europe and the government's policy of above-inflation increases each year means that Londoners will continue to pay the most" London Transport accepted the association's findings.

It said London feres were so high because of government policy of meeting most transport costs from fares, rather than general taxation. However, we work on a sub- sidy of less than 10 per cent of running costs. Last month Mr Gummer said two-tier authorities should be replaced by all-purpose unitary authorities, even if they cost more. He said counties which keep the existing two-tier local authority structure should be an exception. The commission, charged with redrawing the map of local government in England, was appointed by the environ- ment departmeni.

Polls conducted for the com- mission and published earlier this week found that an overall maj ority of local people in Dur- ham favoured retaining the status quo. They rejected the commission's recommendation of two unitary authorities. The campaign follows advice from Mr Geoff Holland. Chesh- ire's principal trading stan- dards officer, that it does not appear to be illegal to advertise unauthorised decoders in the UK Broadcasting legislation makes it a criminal offence to manufacture, hire, distribute or use the pirate decoders - but not apparently to adver- tise.

Mr David Lyons of Satel- lite Decoder Systems said yes- terday he intended to advertise his card, which unlocks all the Sky subscription channels, and continue to send out informa- tion sheets. All mail received would be sent unopened to bis office in the Irish hamlet of Ballyegan in Co Offaly, and cards would be posted from Ireland.

There is no specific law in Ireland, or in most European Community countries, outlaw- ing pirate television decoders. Ms Sue Whittle, head of sales at the broadcaster, said yester- day the stations had been assured by trading standards authorities that it would not be illegal to advertise such a product But she emphasised that she would not clear the advertise- ments until she had heard what they said.

If the Marcher stations do broadcast the advertisements it could open the way for more extensive advertising of the unauthorised cards which seem to be coming to Ireland from Germany. The insurance market is hop- ing that its Names - the indi- viduals whose assets support the market - will want to invite corporate members to join the market next week at an extraordinary meeting.

At least 12 other similar schemes are at an advanced stage. Financial advisers, who will help market these schemes to individuals, have mixed views but some have already decided LEADERS OF loss-making Lloyd's Names are threatening to adjourn a crucial meeting on Wednesday in order to press the market's council - or governing body - to settle legal disputes at the insurance market Leaders of the loss-makers have been collecting proxy votes from their members, who are among 31, Names eligible to vote at a meeting called by Lloyd's to approve the introduction of corporate capital.

They believe they may be able to defeat the reform at the extraordinary meeting. He added: To be able to go into these markets with a com- plete floor on losses may well be attractive. Investors in the new schemes - like Lloyd's Names - will earn a return both from investment and from under- writing profits. Money raised by the trusts will be invested in a range of gilts and equities but will also be used to support underwriting by Lloyd's syndi- cates.

IF underwriting syndicates crash, as many have done over the past five years, investors will simply lose the amount of capital they have co mm itted. Lloyd's Names have unlimited liability for losses and can theoretically be pursued by creditors for their entire personal wealth. Hoare Govett. Fenchureh, Guinness Mahon Warburg. Panmure Gordon. Other financial advisers have doubts. To a great extent it very much depends what happens over the next 12 months.

I'm not totally con- vinced it will be as profi table as everyone says. But I am suspi- cious. They are complicated vehicles. Emerging markets are a dream compared to these. But Lloyd's underwrit- ers T Some advisers remain firmly opposed. Tm very much a contrarian but what concerns me with thorn is that they have not reached tha bot- tom of the cycle. He will need to be. The position of Mr John Major's government could be worse, but not much. Mr Meyer, 49, will not be expected single-handedly to revive the govern- ment's popularity.

That is the job of the prime minister, the cabinet and Conservative Central Office, the party headquarters- The press secretary s job is more subtle- He relays the prime minis- ter's Views to political Journalists, usually by means of unaitnbutable Kevin Brown on the task facing Christopher Meyer, the high-flyer who is to be press secretary at Number 10 briefings. He rarely speaks on the record and never gives television interviews.

The two roles make him a power fill, if shadowy, figure. They also make him a target for criticism if things go wrong. Mr Gus O'Donnell, the affable economist who has done the Job since Mr Major moved into 10 Down- ing Street in , shares with the p rime minister a south London back- ground and a love of sport. He is liked by political journalists, who respect his honesty and his refusal to cross the line which separates the assiduous civil servant From the party hack.

Yet Mr O'Donnell, 41, has been the target of a whispering campaign among backbench Tory MPs, mostly disaffected rightwingers, who blame him for the government's apparent inability to get its message across. Even loyal backbenchers have called for changes to improve presentation of government policies. Mr O'Donnell has not been forced out. He is leaving voluntarily for a senior Treasury post advising on monetary policy. But the prime min- ister has taken the opportunity to beef up his media presentation.

Mr Meyer is thought to have been in line for promotion to ambassador before deciding to accept the job at Number IQ. He made his name as head of the Foreign Office news department from to , when be acquired a glowing reputation as a tough and intelligent aide to the then foreign secretary Sir Geoffrey Howe, now Lord Howe.

He is best remembered for a coup at the Commonwealth summit to Vancouver, when Lord Howe and Mrs Margaret now Baroness Thatcher, then prime minister, were under pressure from Canada to reduce British trade with South Africa. Britain appeared likely to suffer a serious diplomatic defeat until Mr Meyer discovered some lit- tle known figures demonstrating that Canada was also trading with South Africa on a much greater scale than had been realised.

But the best political antennae to the world will not protect him from the wrath of Tory backbenchers if things continue to go badly for the government. They tried to force me to quit regularly. More than half of the elec- tricity In the competitive mar- ket is sold by electricity suppli- ers to customers outside the area where they have a distri- bution monopoly. Since electricity privatisa- tion three years ago the 5.

About a third of them -are doing so, according to the Offer survey. PowerGen, the genera- tor, and regional electricity companies operating outside their area have increased their market share while that of National Power, the other large generator, has declined. Mr Justice Vtoelott. Leyland Daf ruling postponed NEARLY 2, former Leyland Daf van and truck workers dis- missed when the company went into receivership will have to wait for an industrial tribunal ruling on compensa- tion.

The workers, from the Ley- land and Chorley plants to Lancashire, the van plant to Birmingham and Glasgow's Albion works, say they dismissed without the consultation period. The tribunal in Manchester' was told yesterday that the company accepted that the day period had not been entered into - but that the redundancies were forced on them because of excess capac- ity at the plants.

The tribunal reserved judg- ment. Their ruling will be- given in writing to the four unions Involved. What we need is demilitarisation. In a consultation document tha - Department of Trade and Industry said the fuel obliga- tions towards former employ- , ees would be transferred from- British Coal to the secretary of state after privatisation.

Courage has been one of the most aggressive contenders in a price war in which discounts of up to 50 per cent of list prices have been offered. Mr Bryan said profit margins bad. Resources released by the job cuts would enable the group to provide stronger support for its brands, beginning with a market- ing programme next year for Foster's lager and John Smith's bit- ter. Courage said that its rationalisa- tion programme would include man- agement delayering as well as reduc- tion of head office services.

Neither its five breweries - at Bristol, Reading, London. Halifax and Tadcaster, in North Yorkshire - nor its 30 distribution depots would be dosed. The company said that compul- sory redundancies could not. The TGWU general workers' union yesterday asked for an early meeting with Courage's management, and shop stewards will meet, probably next week, to discuss their response to the job cuts.

Mr Brian Revell. They had argued the centre would affect town centre trade in Manchester, Bury, Bolton, Oldham, Rochdale. Stockport, Tameside and Wigan. The centre - to be developed by the Peel property group - is scheduled to open in Peel is predicting it will create 6, construction and retail jobs. The acre site will house shops, two superstores, a food hall, restaurants, leisure facili- ties and parking for 2, cars.

Manchester's metrolink supertram system will be extended through Salford Quays and Trafford Park to the new centre. The centre's market will be the 7m population of north-west England, north Wales and some of the west Midlands. Because the site is near five motorways and one main trunk road, most people in the region will be able to get there within 50 minutes.

The site's potential was the lore for the hostile takeover of Manchester Ship C anal, the landowner, by Mr John Whit- taker, Peel's' chairman. There were inquiries into three competing schemes for a retail centre In the area. Fur- ther delays occurred over traf- fic forecasts and whether the M63 motorway would have to be widened. Peel's shares closed up lip yesterday at p. Lord HbQick said yesterday the first option would offer an attractive alternative service at no extra cost to the viewer.

One reason why MAI is par- ticularly interested is that most of its Meridian ITV fran- chise in the south of En gl a nd would not be able to receive the Channel 5 signal. Thames Television, which tike the Financial.

The Banking Appeal Tribu- nal ruled that the Bank had Seen jusfified-ih applying to a High Court judge for provi- sional liquidation - in October last year. It revealed that the Bank of England has allowed Mount Banking to keep its licence for another three months, which may give time for its sale. The report is one of a series commissioned by Cumbria County Council as background studies on the underground nuclear waste repository that Nirex, the nuclear industry's waste disposal company, pro- poses to construct at Sellafield.

Where the regulations apply, the contractor is required to take over the staff currently doing the work on existing terms and conditions. While the regulations did not apply in every case, the uncertainty was deterring contractors from bidding. Mr Hall said. But he said that much more could be done to keep contracting-out alive while Tupe continued. This would mean allow- ing whole torms to be taken out of production under contro- versial set-aside rules and turn- ing over land for woodland.

But there has been some disappointment that she has toiled yet to tackle some pressing matters. Mr David Naish. In the past three years VSEL has cut its workforce steadily from 14, The company has said it might have to reduce its workforce to 5, in spite of its diversification pro- gramme. The losses are in both man- ual and management areas and wUl take place between now and December. BA chairman Sir Colin Marshall said the ban on flights to and from Australia and New Zealand was being introduced because demand for smoking seats had been falling rapidly on many routes.

Some critics suggest Mrs Shep- hard may be ducking difficult issues. Some of these, such as the future of set-aside schemes and the eventual objectives of a General Agreement on Tar- iffs and Trade settlement, require intense negotiation at EC or international level.

But Mrs Shephard must also resolve some important UK matters. She must decide whether to abolish the Agricul- tural Wages Board, the statu- tory minimum pay body for farm workers, in the face of opposition from employers and farm workers alike. She must also rule on the.. Farmers have argued that the diffuse nature of the indus- try makes the Agricultural Wages Board more important than other wages boards abol- ished by Mrs Shephard when she employment secretary.

But she is not convinced. However, she hinted that concessions might be made on the fishing dispute. At the moment, the rules on days at sea. But she suggested the limits might be applied more selectively. In addition, she is keen to see British farmers tailor pro- duction more closely to the needs of consumers. Mrs Shephard said the gov- ernment was looking at help- ing producers with strategy and market p lanning rather than giving more cash help.

The Ministry of Agriculture, Fisheries and Food has tradi- tionally bad a close relation- ship with farmers. Mrs Shep- hard takes a broad view of its role as encompassing the whole of the rural economy. The board says it will put all of its transport contracts up for tender at the end of next year, but the dairies are argu- ing this should be done as soon as the market is liberalised.

The contracts will allow Milk Marque to tie up existing haul- age capacity in the initial stages of the new market, even if it toils to secure all of the supply. At the end of this month, the board will take over 23 milk delivery depots from Dairy Crest.

Haulage contracts from these depots will be put out to tender by January A «ainen Quotation S waitable on request. SecvraywU oe required Raws may vary. Loans nusliAmg tar a dboount which ora repaid nfchbi the first nee years wfll tncur a reaeinptlon cnetge eourvafern to three montie' interest. A sudden rash of paper bids and deals in the US, culminating in Bell Atlantic's out- sized S22bn bid for Tele-Communi- cations Inc on Wednesday, sug- gests that the business community has finall y grasped the significance of this fact If you have a barrowful of questionable currency, the sage thing to do is swap it as quickly as possible for something real.

While most of the recent share-based acquisitions and mergers rest on plausible industrial logic, it seems likely that Wall Street's sky-high price-earnings multiples eased the thought processes of the industrial logicians more than somewhat Other bid announcements that preceded this elephantine tele- phone and cable television get- together include the contested bat- tle for the film and publishing group.

Paramount Communica- tions; the KeyCorp and Society Corporation regional banking merger proposal; and pharmaceu- tical giant Merck's offer for the biggest US drugs distribution group. It can only be a matter of time before all this activity spawns a clutch of imita- tors in the UK. City merchant bankers' nostrils are already twitching at the scent of fees.

Bull market euphoria has thus entered a new phase; and it is, in a sense, the natural outcome of an asset price boom built on eco- nomic growth that continues to run well below potential. What else a re businessmen to do but engage In paper shuffling when the economic indicators tell such conflicting tales? While broad money remains stagnant in much of the Anglo-Saxon world, reflecting the weakness of the banking system and the flight of savings out of banks into the capi- tal markets, the narrow money used for transaction purposes is expanding vigorously, leaving cen- tral bankers in a quandary.

Urgent need Bonds and equities have been rising simultaneously, despite the feet that the attraction of fixed-in- terest bonds for many investors rests on a deflationary view of the world that would be bad for corpo- rate profits and equities. Some equity investors are assuming increased risk for no better reason than that the return on cash is low.

Their optimism about corpo- rate earnings is less a matter of analysis that the by-product of their urgent need for income. One thing that would make par- tial sense of a simultaneous bull market in equities and bonds is a decline in real bond yields, after adjusting for inflation, as a result of a shift in the supply of savings relative to investment demand.

Put another way, if nominal bond yields have been coming down fes- ter than the economists have been shrinking their forecasts of infla- tion, the real cost of fixed interest capital will have been falling. Because figures for real yields have to be based on forecasts of future inflation, there is inevitably a lack of precision about the argu- ment But the London Bond Brok- ing Company estimates, on the basis of perfectly plausible assumptions, that real yields are now lower in the US.

Japan, Ger- many and the UK than in the period from to In the case of the UK alone, the move- ment of index-linked gilts over the past 15 months clearly indicates a marked fall in real yields. Strain in Europe This flies in the face of the con- ventional wisdom that took hold after the fell of the Berlin Wail.

The assumption was reinforced by changed perceptions about Latin American debt and the growing enthusiasm in Latin America and Asia for economic liberalism. Yet in the event the strain in the financial markets has been largely confined to Europe, where unification transformed Germany from a net creditor to a net debtor as resources were diverted into the east German economy. Even then, the financial pressures, which were exacerbated by the rigidity of the exchange rata mechanism, came not so much from the capital markets as from the operations of the Bundesbank on short-term interest rates - this at a time when the Group of Seven countries were running up large fiscal deficits.

In short, the global savings shortage felled to emerge. But that is no cause for compla- cency. If the developed world has been able to accommodate these new requirements for capital, it Is because the demands have been more subdued than expected and savings have been higher thanks to recession- That said, the jumbo deals that are now making head- lines in the world's financial press are no cause for alarm precisely because they are being financed by equity.

Taken together with the wave of public equity issues across the globe, this helps miti- gate the damage wrought by the junk bond excesses of the s. If there is damage in these mega- mergers, it will be Industrial rather than financial. And it will take a long time before the share- holders fully grasp what has been done in their name. But as Mr Clarke's first big test - the unified Budget on November 30 - draws nearer, it is clear that he is no longer quite such a lucky follow.

Successive chancellors have learned that the UK economy has a nasty way of springing unpleasant surprises just when things appear to be going welL Poor figures on production and inflation this week threaten to make Mr Clarke the lat- est in a line of distinguished victims of this trend. With hindsight, we now know that the economic signals that appeared just after Mr Clarke moved into number 11 Downing Street in late May were too flatter- ing.

The annual rate of Inflation - at 1. Unemploy- ment fell Manufacturing output was rising at an annualised 4 to 5 per cent and exports also showed strong growth. The past week's figures have con- firmed doubts about the manufac- turing recovery.

The Treasury made no attempt to hide its disappoint- ment at the 0.? But it is easy to be too negative about the latest figures. Exports and industrial production have been depressed by the recession on the European continent. The news that unemployment fell a season- ally adjusted 13, in September suggests that the economy as a whole is still growing.

But the quality of recovery will be different from that signalled in spring. A consumer confidence survey from Gallup and Business Strate- gies, an economic consultancy, found this week that the recovery in consumer spending is increas- ingly well established after rising for six consecutive quarters. Low interest rates, low infla tion and the stabilisation of unemployment have boosted consumers' confidence com- pared with a year ago.

But recent Central Statistical Office figures for exports and pro- ducer prices suggest that recovery is showing other traditional pat- terns. UK manufacturers have used Sterling's devaluation since the pound's exit from the European Monetary System in September to push up margins where possible rather than maximise market share.

The government and Bank of England thus need to be vigilant on inflation. It is true that headline inflation at 1. But the upwards creep of the more important underlying rate, exclu- ding mortgages, to 3. Not only is the underlying rate fairly near the government's 4 per cent target ceiling, set a year ago, but inflationary pressures are build- ing up. Mr Norman Lament's March Budget decisions to impose value added tax on domestic fuel and power as well as restrict mortgage interest relief to the lowest 20 per cent tax band will add 0.

The government's promise to raise road fuel duties by at least 3 per cent a year in real terms could push up petrol prices as early as December. The deteriorating economic back- ground has implications for Mr Clarke's first Budget Rising infla- tion and the changing quality of growth formed the backdrop to yes- terday's confidential conclave on Budget strategy attended by the chan cellor. Treasury ministers and senior officials at Domeywood in Buckinghamshire. While not derailing possible tax measures, Mr Clarke has been unusually talkative for a chancellor about matters of revenue raising and public spending.

This accords with his political beliefs; the chancellor is not one of those Tories who believes public spending is automatically bad. He has indi- cated that he would not turn first to taxing the corporate sector in condi- tions of weak recovery. But he faces problems taming preferences into policy. It is unlikely he can act boldly to increase VAT or widen its net. VAT rises would feed through into both headline and the underly- ing retail price indices and increase the risk of underlying inflation exceeding the government's 4 per cent target ceiling.

Also will Mr Clarke want to hit consumers with more VAT levies, announced just before Christmas, if they are now the mainstay of recovery? Other political factors may limit Mr Clarke's options. The elec- tion manifesto pledged to "mam- tain" mortgage interest relief, raise child benefits and pensions in line with inflation and increase spend- ing on health in real terms.

Mr Clarke is too much a politician to trample on these pledges. Mr Major, keenly interested in the Budget, also wishes to avoid any overt breach of manifesto commitments. Yet the Treasury has been study- ing ways of further curtailing mort- gage interest relief. While commentators could assert inflation was dead, it was easy to construct a strategy of ' fiscal tightening, offset by an inter- est rate cut to support the economy, through fiscal consolidation.

But UK short-term interest rates are the lowest in Europe It is hot clear how far a further cut would help the housing market or mort- gage borrowers. Most new mort- - gages taken out this year have been at fixed rates while many lenders. Lower interest rates might benefit industry, although industrialists have generally stopped complaining about rates.

Without rate cuts on the continent, cheaper money in Britain could undermine the pound and give a new boost to inflation through imported goods prices. There is also a political factor for Mr Clarke to weigh. Savers greatly outnumber borrowers. Would Mr Clarke, the politician, want to alienate further a group of voters that is already up in arms over VAT on fuel? With just over six weeks to the Budget, Mr Clarke is walking a fine line.

His dilemma should not be over-dramatised because the Trea- sury is skilled at finding hitherto unsuspected and relatively painless. But too much action to cut the deficit could tip the economy into a new recession. Too little, and the hope of tax cuts before the next election would evaporate. Though it might go against the grain, Micawberism. It is no wonder that his big deci- sions on taxation will be left as late as possible next month.

But as November 30 looms, Mr Clarke, the chancellor, may find that he is hav- ing to resolve some difficult con- filets with Mr Clarke, the politician. While his Brit- ish counterpart Sir Robin McLaren, UK ambassador in Beijing, has sig- nalled the odd tactical shift - a hint of further British concessions gal- vanised the Hong Kong stock exchange yesterday - the Chinese official has played a waiting game, bolstering his defences and restat- ing China's position ad nauseam.

It Is almost certainly a measure of Mr Jiang's diplomatic skills that at the end of more than hours of face-to-face talks British officials know little more about their chief interlocutor than at the beginning, beyond noting a certain abrasive- ness on occasions behind a bland exterior.

Mr Jiang entered the foreign ministry as a translator in , the year before the Cultural Revolution brought chaos to China. His fluent En glish led him to a diplomatic appoint- ment in Ltmdon where he served as third and then second secretary in the late s. Among his peers, he has a reputation for meticulousness and perhaps more important, patience. But asked about anecdotes or personal details that might illuminate a pic- ture of Mr Jiang foreign ministry cadres seemed at a loss.

In keeping with reticence common to Chinese officials, Mr Jiang has shunned dis- cussion about his background since the Hong Kong talks brought him to notice internationally. What seems certain is that his prominent role will do his career no harm. While Mr Jiang may not seem an obvious heir apparent to Mr Qian Qichen, China's long-serv- ing foreign minister, there is also no doubt that his background, expe- rience, and now sustained interna- tional exposure equip him for big- ger apd better things.

A question that has hung over Mr Jiang since the first round of the Hong Kong talks has been exactly how much flexibility he might enjoy in the negotiations. Dressed in his conservative dark suits and sober ties, his hair tinged with grey, a coolly smiling Mr Jiang has contrived to appear in the eyes of the press to be a fairly avuncular figure. While talks stumble on he has not chosen to show his caustic side publicly, although if negotia- tions fail he can be expected to join in the noisy rhetoric that will surely follow.

Judging, by phlegmatic reactions in Hong Kong to the ups and downs of Sino-Britlsh relations negotia- tions in Beijing over Mr Patten's proposals are hardly the worry they may have once been. Quality performance! If nut all has been negative, the great bulk has whrttar this president and his administration have any form or road map to guide their path trough a complex and dangerous post-cold war world.

This time, significantly, it has not only been the predictable congressio- nal olowhards, instant screaming TV pundits and displaced Republican for- eign policy experts who have been tearing into Mr Clinton for the prob- lems in Somalia, Haiti and, if now to a much lesser extent, Bosnia. Senator Mr Richard Lugar, the Republican from Indiana, is invari- ably the soul of moderation, a firm believer in a bipartisan foreign policy.

Yet this week he vented his com- plaints about the lack of consultation with the executive branch to the New York Times with uncharacteristic public venom. He may not carry much weight in Washington, but Senator Bob Dole, the Republican leader, does and he has tempered his frequently biting criticism to help beat back congres- sional attempts to force an earlier withdrawal from Somalia.

A North Carolina speech on Monday, which did get lost in the foreign policy tumult, saw the president at his more effectively phil- osophical as he spoke of the need for personal, economic and community security during times of change. This wired world, with CNN's ubiquitous cameras, demands instant responses from government and its opposition, but it also encourages an ephemeral attention span.

Yet the latest passage of events has been instructive in the light it sheds on the way this administration oper- ates in foreign affairs. Its vaunted col- legiality did not prevent a serious dis- agreement between the state and defence departments over the safety of the aborted Haitian mission, and it still relies to a remarkable degree on the intervention of Mr Clinton to win hearts and minds and take action.

Mr Christopher and Mr Aspin, for example, foiled lamentably last week in their joint attempt to persuade con- gressional leaders that the US knew what it was about in Somalia. It took the president to set matters straight the following day, while this week the articulation of policy has been left almost exclusively, if understandably, to him.

No wonder he sometimes wist- fully comments on the time he devotes to foreign affairs. The Washington knives have been out for Mr Christopher siTire January, first on the grounds that he was no conceptual global thinker and then for felling to get the European allies to intervene more forcefully in Bos- nia.

Now he stands accused of a lack of concern for the safety of US troops in Haiti and inattention to Somalia, where be is said to have underesti- mated the apparent obsession of Mr Boutros Boutros Qhali, the UN sec- retary-general, to nail General Mohammed Farah Aideed, the So mali faction leader.

Yet there is no reason to suppose that Mr Clinton has lost confidence in his secretary of state, nor in Mr Aspin or Mr Lake. If Mr Clinton's comments on foreign affairs do not always reflect the pas- sion he can impart on domestic issues, there was no doubt of its pres- ence this week. But in some way, aren't our daily commuter trains packed to the brim even more inhuman? These corpo- rate slaves of today don't even share the simplest of pleasures that forced labourers of ages past enjoyed: the right to sit down at the dinner table with their families.

Mr Yagi's diary speaks for the many salarymen whose devotion to a company in return for life time employment has helped transform Japan into an economic superpower but who are now questioning the postwar social contract The toughest recession for 20 years has forced both partners to the contract companies and employees, to rethink attitudes to work. The process may already have been under way, pushed by the internationalisa- tion of Japanese corporate cul- ture, before the economy took a dive.

If so, Japanese feelings about work could be undergo- ing a permanent change. Early retirements, job trans- fers to remote affiliates, enforced holidays on low pay Glpi Sarin Misery line: Tokyo executives at the end of a day of selfless devotion to the company, a relationship which Is under increasing strain and reduced hiring, have been toughest among the biggest companies, the very groups which were once seen as guar- antors of the tradition of jobs for life. They include telecom- munications group NTT, which is Japan's biggest employer, Nippon Steel, the world's larg- est steel group, and most top electronics companies.

On the part of employees, many salarymen today feel there is more to life than hon- ourable sacrifice in the service of a great multinational - and it Is fashionable to say so. Fewer, for instance, today introduce themselves In the traditional fashion, company nam e first, own name second; a pattern that indicated that the company did indeed come first in everything. More striking still, some salarymen are starting to hit back by taking their companies to court for alleged unfai r treatment A recent example is Mr Haruo Kawaguchi, who has achieved big publicity by suing his employer, Teikoku Hor- mone Manufacturing, for com- pensation for a six-year separa- tion from his family caused by a routine job transfer.

A sign that businessmen think Japan should throw out some of Its traditional work- place values came in a recent survey of 1, executives, who said the top three qualities that Japanese society should pursue are creativity, fairness and symbiosis. The values commonly thought to have made Japanese companies into world beaters, such as effi- ciency, growth and competi- tion came bottom of the scale, in the poll by the Social and Economic Congress of Japan, a private think-tank.

An increasing number of salarymen are turning their new aspirations into reality by taking the initiative and ask- ing to be switched to less ambi- tious but more fulfilling jobs outside Tokyo headquarters. T he bursting of the 'bubble economy' and subsequent corporate streamlining have offered salarymen an opportu- nity to review their relation- ships with companies. And some of them, especially those in their 30s, have decided to switch jobs," says Kazuhiko Tanaka, editor of B-ing, a job placement magazine.

One of them is Tetsuro Handa, who two years ago left a high-flying job as section manager of Mitsubishi Corpo- ration's copy machine export division, to work in the newly created environmental affairs department, where he vets the environmental impact of Mit- subishi capital investment plans. What I am doing is more important and rewarding for my life. But the liberated Mr Handa is in a minority.

Those who have been forced to take more leisure or change job as part of a cost cutting plan, rather than make their own moves, have sometimes discovered that try- ing to kick workaholictsm can be traumatic. Mental Illness is increasing among early retiring and semi- redundant salarymen. While this is well-known among sur- plus executives in the west, it is unfamiliar in Japan, and especially striking because of the Japanese taboo against admitting to psychological upsets.

Several Tokyo psychiatrists say a rising number of dis- tressed salarymen have come to their couches in recent years. Dr Sekiya recalls a patient who could not bear to tell his family that he was out of a job and left home clad in a suit every morning, to spend the day killing time in coffee shops. The public debate opened by the casualties among Japan's corporate slaves can only increase the urge among those still in work to put private aspirations first and loyalty to the company second.

This Invites the question of whether Japan's corporate strength, partly built on salary- men's selflessness, might be weakened by a dilution in devotion to the company. Alternatively, Japanese com- panies might secretly welcome confrontation with the work- force, as an excuse further to cut their bloated payrolls. Officials at the Keidanren business federation says that companies have an estimated , to 1. If the change in attitudes does help erode companies' old loy- alties to their unwanted staff, corporate Japan could come out of it leaner and meaner.

As the UK prepares to send more offenders to jail, Alan Pike asks whether prisons work Walls do not a penitent make I f Mr Michael Howard, the UK home secretary, needs any hints on how to make prisons more austere as part of his forthcoming crack- down on crime, he can obtain a handy booklet from the Office of Population Censuses and Surveys.

Top of the list of improvements sought by inmates was better food. All Mr Howard need do is to serve Itunpy potatoes, as well as restrict the other facilities that prisoners particularly value - phonecards, television sets in cells and more frequent visits by their families. It shows that only 30 per cent of prisoners believe prison is a deterrent, com- pared with 93 per cent who regard it as an occupational hazard of criminal activity, and 86 per cent who say inmates learn more about crime while there.

Evidence of this sort, say critics, demonstrates that a crackdown on crime spear- headed by a crackdown on the minority of offenders who happen to be caught is doomed to fail- ure. This week, as Prime Minis- ter John Major backed Mr Howard, the band of critics was joined by Lord Woolf - from the gov- ernment's point of view, an embarrass- ing opponent.

Only two years ago, the government was among his report's admirers. A pris- ons white paper in September acknowledged Its debt to Woolf. Ministers were motivated not only by a desire to reduce prison overcrowding, one of the flashpoints of the riots.

They had concluded that prison was an expensive fail- ure for some offenders. But this week Mr Major and Mr Howard defended the use of prisons by arguing that offenders were prevented from committing farther crimes while detained, and that it deterred others. Such views are not only disputed by Lord Woolf, penal reformers, proba- tion officers, social workers and some senior police officers and prison staff.

Prison is certainly not cost-effective compared with alternative penalties. The cost of an average prison sentence is 20 times greater than non- custodial alternatives. Mr Howard's critics com- plain that non-custodial penal- ties, such as service in the community, have not been tried long enough, or financed adequately, to demonstrate their full worth.

They are also alarmed that the government wants condi- tions in prison to be deliber- ately austere. Mr Howard has said Butllns, the holiday camp operator, wUl not be bidding for the contract to run six pro- posed new privately managed prisons - tbe critics even ques- tion the need for these extra prisons, saying the govern- ment should invest the money in improved crime prevention. Mr Jim Harrower, chief executive of security company Group 4, says he believes the private sector can gradually contrib- ute to crime reduction by breaking new ground in pro- viding prisoners with better work, education and training opportunities.

But I do not wish to be in the business of simply ware- housing prisoners. But tt argued that the best hope was to avoid unnecessary use of custody and make the damag ing expe- rience of imprisonment as pos- itive as possible. Liberal-minded concern for the offender need not be the motivation for such policies. Even though Mr Major and Mr Howard are stressing that prison takes criminals out of circulation, few people stay there for life.

The rest of the country restricting opportunities for a lives with them afterwards. In these difficult times, we should ensure we fulfil our obligations to the least fortunate in our society. In fact, the opposite is happening. Scapegoats are required and the least fortu- nate, who are unable to defend themselves, are being blamed. Let us focus on the real Issues: if tbe British economy were successful, there would be fewer needy people and it would be easy to meet the cost of providing for them.

She is on thin ice indeed if she upholds the writings of Saumarez Smith as evidence of this new approach. When you already nave in-house a potential institu- tional leader whose relation- ship to donors to the very insti- tute she or he aspires to is of the very best, it is surely fool- ish of the trustees to alienate and anger those very donors.

Letters transmitted should be clearly typed and not hand written. Sadly, the rad- From Ms Judy Welemmsky. This report proposes that charities and voluntary organisations should be split into two categories - service providers and campaigners - and that organisations must choose between them. Such a recommendation is simplistic and destructive. Our sector is very aware of the high standards demanded by our unique position as recipients of gifts from individ- uals and funding from statu- tory funders.

It would be naive to believe everything in the charitable world is rosy, but this report exaggerates the problems and fuels unneces- sary fears. Charities that pro- vide services are engaged In a lively debate about how they combine their increasing role as providers of services under contract to government or gov- ernment agencies and retain their independence to cam- paign and lobby forcefully.

Charities can combine these rotes effectively and they should not be separated. Expe- rience in service provision informs and enriches cam- paigning work. Except for a very few examples, it is essen- tial that voluntary organisa- tions undertake both roles.

They would be failing in their responsibility to their donors and supporters if they ignored the causes of the social and economic crises faced by many people in need. Government is much better informed and advised by charities through allowing the voices of those at the sharp end to be heard. However, I have significant concerns about two trends which are particularly strong in the community care and health fields and which will risk the goodwill of charities.

Such irresponsibility leaves charity trustees with the diffi- cult choice between subsidis- ing services out of charitable funds or withdrawing services. The second fear is that statu- tory agencies, with the current pressure on resources, will cease to fund the new projects which supplement the basic statutory provision and lead to new and improved services. The report went further and suggested that tax reliefs should be withdrawn and the Charily Commission abolished.

This would be a significant dis- incentive to donors. The Gift Aid scheme and the use of cov- enants would be in peril. With- drawal of fiscal benefits enjoyed by charities would have very serious conse- quences, making it more diffi- cult to stimulate people to give in a planned and thoughtful way. Loss of supervisory sup- port from the Charity Commis- sion might erode the trust peo- ple rightly have In charities.

I believe that the debate on the future of voluntary actions should focus on how more peo- ple can be involved as volun- teers and help to solve the problems of our society - crime and youth unemploy- ment, environmental degrada- tion, the challenge of helping the third world and the issues around the effective provision of care in the community. Judy Weleminsky, director. Clear statement of the gen- eral principles makes legisla- tion infinitely easier to under- stand. But often the implications need to be spelt out in some detail, especially where penalties or heavy dam- ages may be the result.

English courts only award compensa- tory damages, so large dam- ages always mean that some- one has already suffered a large loss or injury. A lot of regulations serve the function of instruction manu- als rather than general laws. The dangers they are designed to avert may not be obvious to those involved. For example, many people are unaware of the risks of using the same knife to cut raw and cooked meat: the regulations aim to stop an outbreak of food poi- soning, not to penalise careless or ignorant restaurateurs.

The vice in most regulations is the way that the detail Js organised. Far too often it. The iinmanageflh lp h ulk of regula- tions is aggravated by the baroque way In which they are usually written. The areas covered by regula- tion may not be capable of much reduction. What could be done is to reorganise the whole body of regulations, setting them out in a logical structure.

This would show up Inconsistencies and obscurities in the present texts. A drafter dedicated to logical exposition would use more coherent and accessible language. Of course, this would cost quite a lot of public money. But the present alternative Inflicts this cost, many times over, on the population at large in terms of time wasted trying to abide by the law. Celia Hampton, editor. The announcement is part of a restructuring plan of the highly-indebted Italian group organised by Mediobanca, the Milanese merchant bank.

Forte will have a majority interest in the operating com- pany. Ciga's bank debt will be transferred into a separate property holding company in which the operating company will have a 15 per cent stake. It recorded of losses of LUO. Mr Rocco Forte, chairman of Forte, said it was too early to say which hotels his group would place in the Ciga operat- ing company. It is thought, however, that the group's four luxury hotels in Italy would be candidates.

Mr Forte said he had approached Mediobanca last June. Losses per share worked through at 0. In the share restructure each existing lp ordinary share will be converted into one ordinary p share and a 0. The rights issue of m new 0.

The share subscription will take the form of the issue of Hankhill will then hold The hold- ing will represent 15 per cent on behalf of a trust formed for the benefit of Mr Masoud Amir Alikhani and his immediate family with the Through Transylvania Pets, its The series centres around Dr Scuzzbag, a fiendish scientist and owner of tbe only pet shop in Transylvania, a cobwebbed castle populated by zombies, vampires and dinosaurs.

He is assisted in his endeavours by Honifido, a skeletal hound. Sleepy Kids' shares rose 3p to 56p yesterday, a net rise of 15p on the week; on Thursday the directors said they knew of no reason for the strength of the shares. The group said it had decided that the joint venture, which it set up three years ago to provide credit cards to cus- tomers of Hertie in eight Ger- man cities, was a distraction from its main credit card busi- ness in Germany.

The 49 per cent stake was sold for an undisclosed amount to Berliner Bank. Berliner said it had also acquired a further 1 per cent in the Optimus Bank filer Finanz- Servlce venture from Hertie. Hi-Tec yesterday announced details of a complicated deal which it said would free the company to seek an efficient equity injection for its rapidly growing US business.

Mr Peter Butler, finance director, said that under the original agreement their stakes could not be diluted. This meant that the directors would have to be paid a pro- portion of any equity injection into the US business. The value of their stake at the option price is SI. However, the executives have agreed to sell back 8.

They will receive S1. Three of the four executives will also receive a 3 per cent stake in the quoted parent as payment, while one US direc- tor has opted for a deferred cash sum of Sim. The executives will then be granted options over a farther 6. Mr Butler said this valued tbe US business at S44m. The result was in line with expectations expressed in April. Reed has made small profits every month since May but said the full-year outcome depended on the inevitable loss in December being con- tained so that it did not negate the profits for the previous 11 months.

Losses for the period were 0. The two boards are sched- uled to meet in the first week of next month to approve a business plan that would allow the largest ever building soci- ety merger to take place. How- ever. Leeds said it did not believe that differences would be enough to block a merger, and that it was normal in so big a merger to encounter some obstacles.

It would then go forward for approval to the Building Societies Commission, which supervises the industry. The planned merger, announced in August. Mr Moir claims to have received a large number of letters of support from other shareholders.

His main com- plaint appears to be the fall in value of Baldwin's shares. Brooks Service Group, the textile rental and retail services company, announced a narrowed interim deficit and a return to the divi- dend list. The shares rose 5p to 70p. Mr Simon Brooks, chairman, said that trading conditions were improving slowly. Losses per share were reduced from 0. A return to the black in the second half was unlikely. Losses per stock unit were EKL25p earnings of 25J25p.

An interim of 2p was paid last year. The company said further progress had been made in reducing operating costs in line with the lower workload. They issued the statement following a comment made in the press. The shares rose 6p to p.

Wigmore Property Investment Trust will concentrate on investing in the shares of smaller property companies. The prospectus is expected to be launched next mouth. Greycoat talks at early stage By Paid Taylor GREYCOAT, the property company struggling to ted off receivership, said yesterday that talks regarding a possible takeover or a fi n ancial re st ru c turing were at an early stage and no formal proposals had been received.

Other interested parties declined to be identified. New issues float on wave of market confidence The recent flotations have been welcomed in the City, but some doubts remain. Catherine Milton reports I NVESTORS rifling through documents for the second wave of flotations this year are still bathed in the warm afterglow of the first, from which almost all buyers have so for made money.

Issues which looked finely priced, if not expensive, such as Carpet right, the retail chain, and Devro International, the sausage casings maker, have performed well so for, albeit In a rising market. Even RJB Mining, the coal company which saw its shares open at a discount is now trad- ing at a premium.

Court Cav- endish, the nursing home oper- ator, which also saw its shares sUp, remains a disappointment. There is still quality stock emerging, however, with the likes of Roxboro, the electron- ics components maker, and Gartmore. Fortunately, the majority of issues we have seen to date have justified their values, levels of enthusi- asm are t unning much higher than six months ago and cer- tainly higher than a year ago.

However, the nagging fear remains that the market is dis- counting a sharp recovery in earnings which may be a more distant prospect than it knows. Other City sceptics point out that for venture capitalists seeking even a partial exit from management buy-outs tbe market is currently prepared to pay more for a percentage of the equity than trade buyers can afford or will stump up for outright ownership. Tbe danger Is some will squeeze every last drop of juice out of the price which means less upside for new subscribers.

The sheer volume of new issues means investors are likely anyway to become more selective. Another banker, arr- anging a placing for a recent issue, said he approached 30 institutions where he would normally contact 20, just because of the number of new issues around. In addition, institutions are subjecting new stock to a more rigorous analysis.

This meant there was scarcely any scope for individual ques- tions," says another banker. BffdayB — BMeOrcto. British Steal 37 Olmoo 28 Grand Mat. Thom EM. Aviva Pal - BP.. As with tin, however, a subsequent recov- ery set the stage for a sharp advance yesterday. The earlier fall had reflected growing doubts that other pro- ducers would follow up on the production cutting plans an n ounced by Inco, the biggest nickel producer, at the end of last week.

The Canadian com- pany this week gave more details of the means by which it intended to reduce its output by 16 per cent next year. These included closure of the Ontario division for eight weeks from December and shutting the Manitoba operation for four weeks from December 17, after which operations would resume ou a four-day work week.

Dealers attri- buted the rise to a revival in consumer interest, trade buy- ing and covering against ear- lier short sales. Deal- ers said the rise was also fuelled by Investment fund coverin g against what were believed to be huge short posi- tions. The al uminium market traded comparatively quietly until producer support buying and trade short-covering got prices rising in earnest on Thursday.

The London Commodity Exchange's cocoa and cocoa markets both staged tentative rallies but finished well off the hlghfl. Irontnu 9. The Middle East is one of the world's most strategically significant commercial aviation regions. Middle East airlines are significant customers for the latest offerings from the world's airliner manufacturers, as the major carriers expand their route networks to serve new markets.

Hie con fer ence will examine in depth the political, economic and structural changes which will influence commercial aviation well into the next Century. A must for all investors, Beginners' Guide is packed with vital information on the markets. The Financial Times review called it "the best guide for the total novice," but added that "More experienced investors might still benefit. What does the City do and how do the different markets work? What are the individual investor's choices and how do you decide what's right for YOU.

Port Three. The nitty-gritty of investing in shares. How to tell the winners from losers. Finally the book rounds off with valuable appendices on tax, investors' rights and choosing a stockbroker, plus comprehensive tables. The book is the perfect introduction to a subscription to Investors Chronicle. Getting in ahead of the pack is the key to successful investment, as professional's know.

But private investors have to be very canny to manage this. Investors Chronicle is published by the Financial Times.

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