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And do feel free to discuss with me by sending a message to Nomad Investor, or at my email at thenomadinvestor gmail. You are commenting using your WordPress. You are commenting using your Twitter account. You are commenting using your Facebook account. Notify me of new comments via email. Notify me of new posts via email. When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it.
Yet at the hundred and first blow it will split in two, and I know it was not that blow that did it, but all that had gone before. Take a simple idea and take it seriously — Charlie Munger Now, let me turn to some of my learnings in more detail by speakers , which probably might shed more colour on what I mean. Vishal Khandelwal Safal Niveshak First, the one year challenge! I am looking older, but he is the same LOL.
Share this: Twitter Facebook. Like this: Like Loading Leave a Reply Cancel reply Enter your comment here Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:. Email required Address never made public. Name required. Next Next post: Updates on my investing journey…. With Love, Yuting Eat Simply. Live Simply. Love Simply. Hanli Bubu World of Hanli Bubu. Matt Mullenweg Unlucky in Cards. De Verger Another investor sharing his thoughts. Pound the Rock Investing When nothing seems to help, I go and look at a stonecutter hammering away at his rock perhaps a hundred times without as much as a crack showing in it.
Evergreen Investing Dividend and growth ideas. For example, the stock of a rapidly growing company could trade well above book value and still represent a good buy in some industries. Cash flow is the amount of money that is moving in and out of a business.
Operating cash flow is revenue less operating expenses, including adjustments to net income. As such, some investors prefer it as an analytical tool. Debt is the total amount that is owed by a company, including bonds and outstanding loans. While debt can finance growth during times of prosperity, it can also become a burden if a company is having financial difficulties. Contrarians believe that the crowd is always wrong, and that when everyone is overwhelmingly optimistic, it is time to sell stocks and take profits or to focus purchases in neglected corners of the market.
On the other hand, contrarians believe investor pessimism presents opportunities to purchase overlooked stocks at low valuations. The key is to wait until everyone feels certain about something and then do the opposite. Successful outcomes can sometimes take a year or more to develop, so the strategy requires patience.
Contrarian indicators such as those below should be used with other tools to spot good long-term buys. Short interest is the number of shares sold short that have not been repurchased. This is a good contrarian indicator because it shows how pessimistic investors are about a particular stock.
It can be a useful tool in long-term trading, as steadily rising short interest could be a sign that the stock is becoming undervalued due to excessive fear. When using this indicator, look at the short interest ratio to gauge investor pessimism. The higher it is, the more pessimistic investors are about the stock. Another contrarian indicator is the put-to-call ratio, which compares the trading volume of put options options to sell a stock and call options options to buy a stock.
A ratio that rises or falls excessively can be interpreted as a sign of excessive optimism or pessimism. When investors are optimistic and speculation is high, for example, the put-to-call ratio will be low; when investors are bearish, it will be high. At extreme points, you can use this tool in conjunction with fundamental indicators to help determine whether the stock is overvalued or undervalued, based on investor sentiment. Successful long-term trading requires that you have a time horizon of one year or more and be willing to focus on the big picture.
Investors can use fundamental indicators, such as the price-earnings ratio, book value, cash flow and debt, to determine whether a company is financially sound and if its stock is trading at an attractive price. Contrarian indicators, such as short interest and the put-call ratio, can gauge how optimistic or pessimistic investors are, and can be used in conjunction with fundamental indicators to find a good long-term buy.